版主:完全適用白銀，大家可以參考這5點，思考一下現在該買還是該賣?理性判斷，不要被情緒影響。
千萬不要販賣你的黃金，因為你要保持你的餘生，並把它傳遞給你的孫輩。
NOW（賣你的黃金鑄成大錯 - 我的意見），如果您認為黃金處於泡沫或不應該被買為“金抨擊”沃倫·巴菲特和查理·芒格。我們中的大多數現在，從來沒有賣之間的某個時候。什麼是客觀的方法來決定何時出售？
它可能是明智的，你的黃金賣掉一些的技術比
1.賣一些黃金，黃金白銀價格比下降到約15至1時。 黃金白銀價格比目前約51到1。當黃金和白銀價格都超越了所有典型的預期上升，這個比例可能會下降到10至20比1。的比例大約是17比1在1980年泡沫高峰。
2.賣一些黃金時，道瓊斯工業平均指數（DOW）已經下降到接近1比金（DOW /黃金）為1。目前的比例是約7.5至1。的比例可能會達到1為1，例如，如果道指售價在10,000和黃金的售價為10,000美元每盎司。在1980年的黃金泡沫的高峰期，比率約為1到1。
3.賣一些黃金，黃金原油比上升到大約30到1。例如，如果原油價格在300美元每桶和黃金的價格為9,000元，這是一個30比1的比例。在1980年的峰值比為約25至1。
4.賣一些黃金的時候可以還清全部抵押你的房子有10到20盎司的黃金。
5.（我建議你賣掉你的黃金“一些”，而不是所有的，因為它始終是一個好主意，讓一些“真金白銀”，而不是完全依賴無靠背的紙幣。）
情緒的時機考慮出售黃金
財經電視上正在運行一個故事每小時黃金價格迅速上升，賣一些黃金。
賣一些黃金“時代”雜誌發表他們的封面標題為“新黃金牛市的金條圖片。”
賣一些黃金時，你的髮型師/理髮湧出的黃金，他/她剛剛買了它是如何確定價格的3倍。
賣一些黃金的硬幣商店購買黃金的人等待時有線條。
當人們終於意識到，“錢（無靠背的紙幣）只接受因為錢被接受，”人們已經不願意接受紙幣賣一些黃金。
賣一些黃金時，人們已經認識到的錢只有具有價值，因為人們相信它的價值，而人們也終於失去了信心，在無靠背的紙幣。
其他的想法：
吉姆·辛克萊表明，關於黃金，人們應該“ 買魚線和銷售犀牛角。“換句話說，當價格已經崩潰的價格秒殺下來（看起來像一條魚線向下延伸，從釣魚竿）那麼我們應該買。
但是，如果價格上升的拋物線花紋，看起來像犀角，那麼現在是時候出售部分和等待的修正。
如果價格下降了，太快了，有沒有價格崩潰的根本原因，要買多。
如果價格迅速上漲至新的高點遠遠超出預期，那麼它移動得太遠，太快了。這些市場的反彈，無論是在金，銀，納斯達克指數，原油，房地產，似乎總是在一次事故中糾正。
例子包括黃金和白銀在1980年初，日經225指數於1990年，並在2000年初在納斯達克看來，黃金和白銀將很可能在幾年內進入一個拋物線上升，除非印鈔停止-我們應該計劃在印鈔持續很長一段時間。
恐懼和貪婪是人類情感的共同點。簡單來說，貪婪推動市場創出新高，恐懼導致崩潰。人是“快速致富”時，在納斯達克上漲約1100至5000元左右，在不到2年 - 當貪婪了上風。但是，在納斯達克達到了自然停止點時，恐懼接管和人恐慌中出售或保留值保持。如果他們不賣，乘著市場一路下跌，他們失去了他們的投資和賬面利潤的重要部分。恐懼引發了人們對銷售，創造了更多的恐懼和銷售，並反饋後，本身的瀑布下降，直到賣家用盡。
同樣，在2008年，當黃金已經倒塌超過1000美元下$ 700（今天是1,700美元左右的價格）在七個月中，大多數業餘投資者不願以購買，因為他們是可怕的，黃金的價格會下降，進一步專業人員買的底部和銷售的頂部。由於擔心業餘愛好者出售的底部，然後買回來的頂部附近時貪婪接管。
如果你買了黃金，這是目前在一個長期上升趨勢，然後等待最終會帶來成功，即使你購買了一個臨時頂。但是，如果您購買安然股票，幾年前，然後等待只放大了災難性的投資。您的投資研究基本面，直到你理解上的差異。
當金將達到4,000元
底線：“血在街上奔跑時，”賣當每個人都希望購買。利用量之比從其他市場為目標的措施表示可能在市場上的價格極端。我們很少能找出精確的底部和頂部，而有些則是被橫掃自己的恐懼和貪婪，但我們可以仔細觀察。如果我們能保持我們的頭腦，而另一些則失去理智，數字，分析和比較比其他市場的基礎上作出正確的決定，我們可以做出智能和知情的購買和銷售決策。現在，對我來說很有意義持有黃金，白銀和仔細評估一切。大規模和所謂的意外可能發生的變化以驚人的速度。
NEVER sell your gold because you want to hold it for the rest of your life and pass it on to your grandchildren.
Or
Sell your gold NOW (big mistake – my opinion) if you believe that gold is in a bubble or never should have been bought (as per “gold-bashers” Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger).
Most of us will sell sometime between now and never. What is an objective method to determine when to sell?
Technical ratios at which it might be sensible to sell some of your gold
Sell some gold when the gold to silver ratio drops down to around 15 to 1. The gold to silver ratio is currently about 51 to 1. When gold and silver prices have both risen beyond all typical expectations, the ratio will probably drop to between 10 and 20 to 1. The ratio was about 17 to 1 at the bubble peak in 1980.
Sell some gold when the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DOW) ratio to gold (DOW/Gold) has dropped to near 1 to 1. The ratio is currently about 7.5 to 1. The ratio could reach 1 to 1, for example, if the Dow were priced at 10,000 and gold was selling for $10,000 per ounce. At the peak of the 1980 gold bubble, the ratio was approximately 1 to 1.
Sell some gold when the gold to crude oil ratio rises to perhaps 30 to 1. For example, if crude oil is priced at $300 per barrel and gold is priced at $9,000, that is a 30 to 1 ratio. In 1980 the peak ratio was about 25 to 1.
Sell some gold when you can pay off the entire mortgage on your house with 10 to 20 ounces of gold.
(I suggest you only sell “some” of your gold, not all of it, because it is always a good idea to keep some “real money” and not be utterly dependent upon unbacked paper currency.)
Sentiment-based timing to consider selling gold
Sell some gold when the “money honeys” on financial TV are running one story per hour on the rapidly rising price of gold.
Sell some gold when Time magazine posts a picture of gold bars on their cover with a caption “The new bull market in gold.”
Sell some gold when your hairdresser/barber gushes about the gold she/he just bought and how it is sure to triple in price soon.
Sell some gold when there are lines of people waiting at coin shops to buy gold.
Sell some gold when people finally realize that “money (unbacked paper money) is accepted only because money is accepted,” and people have become reluctant to accept paper money.
Sell some gold when people have realized that money only has value because people have faith in its value, and people have finally lost faith in unbacked paper money.
Additional thoughts: Jim Sinclair suggests that, regarding gold, people should “buy fish lines and sell rhino horns.” Stated another way, when the price has collapsed in a price spike down (looks like a fish line extending downward from a fishing pole) then we should buy. But if the price has risen in a parabolic pattern (looks like a rhino horn), then it is time to sell a portion and wait for the correction. If the price has fallen too for, too fast, and there is no fundamental reason for the price collapse, buy more. If the price has rapidly rallied to new highs far beyond expectations, then it has moved too far, too fast. Those markets rallies, whether in gold, silver, the NASDAQ, crude oil, or real estate, always seem to correct in a crash. Examples include Gold and Silver in early 1980, the Nikkei 225 in 1990, and the NASDAQ in early 2000. It seems likely that gold and silver will go into a parabolic rise within a few years unless the money printing ceases – and we should plan on the money printing continuing for a LONG time.
The common denominators are the human emotions of fear and greed. In simple terms, greed drives the market to new highs and fear causes the crash. People were “getting rich quick” when the NASDAQ rallied from about 1,100 to about 5,000 in less than 2 years – when greed had the upper hand. But when the NASDAQ reached a natural stopping point, fear took over and people sold in panic or to preserve what value remained. If they did not sell and rode the market all the way down, they lost a significant portion of their investment and paper profits. Fear caused people to sell, which created more fear and selling, and the waterfall decline fed upon itself until the sellers were exhausted.
Similarly, in 2008, when gold had collapsed from over $1,000 to under $700 (the price today is about $1,700) in seven months, most amateur investors were reluctant to buy because they were fearful that the price of gold would decline further. Professionals buy the bottoms and sell the tops.Fearful amateurs sell down into the bottoms and then buy back near the tops when greed takes over.
If you bought gold, which is currently in a long-term uptrend, then waiting will eventually bring success, even if you purchased at a temporary top. However, if you were buying Enron Stock some years ago, then waiting only magnified the disastrous investment. Study the fundamentals of your investments until you understand the differences.
When will gold reach $4,000?
The Bottom Line: Buy when the “blood is running in the streets,” and sell when everyone else wants to buy. Use ratios from other markets as objective measures to indicate probable price extremes in markets. We can seldom pick the precise bottoms and tops, but we can carefully observe while others are being swept along by their own fears and greed. If we can keep our heads while others are losing theirs and make sound decisions based on numbers, analysis, and comparison ratios to other markets, we can make intelligent and informed buy and sell decisions. For now, it makes sense to me to hold gold and silver and to carefully evaluate everything else. Massive and supposedly unexpected changes can occur with surprising rapidity.
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